Analysis of High School Leaving Certificate (HSLC) Examination from the year 1978–2021 under Mizoram Board of School Education with a special focus on Mathematics subject and forecasting male and female percentages using time series analysis


Mathematics is regarded as the hardest subject in school education in Mizoram. Students always have a sense of fear and failure. Though many attempts were made by various Science Societies and the government of Mizoram to overcome this, the performance of the candidates for High School Leaving Certificate (HSLC) and Higher Secondary School Leaving Certificate (HSSLC) Examinations under Mizoram Board of School Education (MBSE) proved that it is still the subject performed worst compared to other subjects. It was also observed that the correlation coefficient of Mathematics is highest with science subjects in the HSLC Examination from 1978 to 2021, which is positive and also significant at 1% and 5% levels of significance indicating that if the score of science subject increases the score of mathematics subject will also be increased among the students. The highest regression coefficient was also observed in science with 0.530, which means that if the score in science increase by one mark, the mathematics score will be increased by 0.530 marks. From time series analysis from 1978 to 2021 using ARIMA, it was also observed that female candidates will have a higher pass percentage as compared to male candidates in the next five years i.e. 2022 to 2026; it will be very challenging for male candidates.

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